Featured · Market History

How often does the S&P 500 dip — and how deep?

Seventy-six years of data on how often corrections and bear markets hit, how far they fall, and how long recovery takes — the base rates behind every dip-buying decision.

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The Engine

DoubleTrends™

Williams %R, doubled. A fifty-year-old momentum oscillator run on two timeframes and smoothed, that flags when broad-index selling has exhausted itself.

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Stress Lens

Maximum Drawdown

How far below the trailing high, and for how long. A two-axis lens that turns a price chart into a measurable read on market stress.

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Liquidity

Volume Profile & VWAP

The institutional-desk vocabulary for how the order book actually fills. Volume-at-price as inventory zones and the point of control; VWAP as the canonical benchmark every execution algo and TCA report is built around.

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Volatility

VIX percentile

Why the fear gauge is more honest as a percentile of its own one-year history than as a raw level. How VIX rank separates routine selling from genuine stress.

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Interest Rate

U.S. Federal Funds Rate

The price of money set by the Federal Reserve. Why the rate's recent slope tells you more about macro pressure than the headline level.

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Labor

Unemployment Rate

The cleanest signal that the macro regime is turning. How recent slope and the trailing-year-average crossover read pressure on consumers and corporates.

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Inflation

CPI year-over-year

Year-over-year inflation as the context behind every Fed decision. A central bank tightening into 2% inflation is a different beast from one tightening into 6%.

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